2024 Governor · Missouri
Remington · fieldwork ended 2024-10-29 (7 days before the election) · 721 respondents · method not reported
The poll said
Democrat 40% · Republican 51%
R+11.0
The certified result
Democrat 38.72% · Republican 59.14%
R+20.4
The arithmetic
- Poll margin = 40 − 51 = -11.00
- Actual margin = 38.719 − 59.143 = -20.424
- Signed miss = -11.00 − (-20.424) = 9.425
- Absolute miss = |9.425| = 9.425
The poll overstated the Democrat by 9.4 points and had the right leader.
Where these numbers come from
Poll and result: 538 governor_polls_historical.csv (archived 2025-03-06). Poll ID 89226, race ID 9540 (538 database).
population: lv