Skip to content

2024 President · Nebraska CD-2

YouGov · fieldwork ended 2024-10-28 (8 days before the election) · 393 respondents · Online Matched Sample

The poll said

Democrat 52% · Republican 44%

D+8.0

The certified result

Democrat 51.32% · Republican 46.73%

D+4.6

The arithmetic

  1. Poll margin = 52 − 44 = 8.00
  2. Actual margin = 51.324 − 46.731 = 4.593
  3. Signed miss = 8.00 − (4.593) = 3.407
  4. Absolute miss = |3.407| = 3.407

The poll overstated the Democrat by 3.4 points and had the right leader.

Where these numbers come from

Poll and result: 538 president_polls_historical.csv (archived 2025-03-06). Poll ID 89093, race ID 8837 (538 database).

population: lv