2024 President · Wisconsin
Quinnipiac · fieldwork ended 2024-10-21 (15 days before the election) · 1,108 respondents · Live Phone
The poll said
Democrat 48% · Republican 48%
even
The certified result
Democrat 48.74% · Republican 49.60%
R+0.9
The arithmetic
- Poll margin = 48 − 48 = 0.00
- Actual margin = 48.737 − 49.596 = -0.859
- Signed miss = 0.00 − (-0.859) = 0.859
- Absolute miss = |0.859| = 0.859
The poll overstated the Democrat by 0.9 points and showed a tie.
Where these numbers come from
Poll and result: 538 president_polls_historical.csv (archived 2025-03-06). Poll ID 88894, race ID 8905 (538 database).
This poll asked 2 versions of the question for this race; one is scored (largest sample) so the poll counts once.
population: lv