2024 Senate · Michigan
Quinnipiac · fieldwork ended 2024-10-21 (15 days before the election) · 1,136 respondents · Live Phone
The poll said
Democrat 52% · Republican 44%
D+8.0
The certified result
Democrat 48.64% · Republican 48.30%
D+0.3
The arithmetic
- Poll margin = 52 − 44 = 8.00
- Actual margin = 48.639 − 48.298 = 0.341
- Signed miss = 8.00 − (0.341) = 7.659
- Absolute miss = |7.659| = 7.659
The poll overstated the Democrat by 7.7 points and had the right leader.
Where these numbers come from
Poll and result: 538 senate_polls_historical.csv (archived 2025-03-06). Poll ID 88893, race ID 9515 (538 database).
population: lv