Skip to content

2024 President · Georgia

AtlasIntel · fieldwork ended 2024-10-17 (19 days before the election) · 1,411 respondents · Online Ad

The poll said

Democrat 48.4% · Republican 50.1%

R+1.7

The certified result

Democrat 48.52% · Republican 50.72%

R+2.2

The arithmetic

  1. Poll margin = 48.4 − 50.1 = -1.70
  2. Actual margin = 48.525 − 50.717 = -2.192
  3. Signed miss = -1.70 − (-2.192) = 0.492
  4. Absolute miss = |0.492| = 0.492

The poll overstated the Democrat by 0.5 points and had the right leader.

Where these numbers come from

Poll and result: 538 president_polls_historical.csv (archived 2025-03-06). Poll ID 88796, race ID 8781 (538 database).

population: lv