2022 Governor · OH
Remington Research Group · fieldwork ended 2022-11-01 (7 days before the election) · 1,125 respondents · IVR/Live Phone
The poll said
Democrat 35% · Republican 58%
R+23.0
The certified result
Democrat 37.38% · Republican 62.41%
R+25.0
The arithmetic
- Poll margin = 35 − 58 = -23.00
- Actual margin = 37.377 − 62.406 = -25.029
- Signed miss = -23.00 − (-25.029) = 2.029
- Absolute miss = |2.029| = 2.029
The poll overstated the Democrat by 2.0 points and had the right leader.
Where these numbers come from
Poll and result: 538 raw_polls.csv. Poll ID 81492, race ID 8976 (538 database).