2000 Senate · TN
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) · fieldwork ended 2000-10-21 (17 days before the election) · 839 respondents · IVR
The poll said
Democrat 30% · Republican 59%
R+29.0
The certified result
Democrat 32.21% · Republican 65.10%
R+32.9
The arithmetic
- Poll margin = 30 − 59 = -29.00
- Actual margin = 32.207 − 65.096 = -32.889
- Signed miss = -29.00 − (-32.889) = 3.889
- Absolute miss = |3.889| = 3.889
The poll overstated the Democrat by 3.9 points and had the right leader.
Where these numbers come from
Poll and result: 538 raw_polls.csv. Poll ID 63608, race ID 1708 (538 database).