2000 President · LA
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) · fieldwork ended 2000-10-19 (19 days before the election) · 733 respondents · IVR
The poll said
Democrat 41% · Republican 48%
R+7.0
The certified result
Democrat 44.88% · Republican 52.55%
R+7.7
The arithmetic
- Poll margin = 41 − 48 = -7.00
- Actual margin = 44.875 − 52.551 = -7.676
- Signed miss = -7.00 − (-7.676) = 0.676
- Absolute miss = |0.676| = 0.676
The poll overstated the Democrat by 0.7 points and had the right leader.
Where these numbers come from
Poll and result: 538 raw_polls.csv. Poll ID 63602, race ID 824 (538 database).