2000 Senate · MA
Harris Insights & Analytics · fieldwork ended 2000-11-03 (4 days before the election) · 5,109 respondents · Live Phone
The poll said
Democrat 67% · Republican 14%
D+53.0
The certified result
Democrat 69.11% · Republican 12.23%
D+56.9
The arithmetic
- Poll margin = 67 − 14 = 53.00
- Actual margin = 69.111 − 12.229 = 56.882
- Signed miss = 53.00 − (56.882) = -3.882
- Absolute miss = |-3.882| = 3.882
The poll overstated the Republican by 3.9 points and had the right leader.
Where these numbers come from
Poll and result: 538 raw_polls.csv. Poll ID 63558, race ID 1693 (538 database).