2000 President · GA
Harris Insights & Analytics · fieldwork ended 2000-11-03 (4 days before the election) · 6,987 respondents · Live Phone
The poll said
Democrat 43% · Republican 51%
R+8.0
The certified result
Democrat 42.98% · Republican 54.67%
R+11.7
The arithmetic
- Poll margin = 43 − 51 = -8.00
- Actual margin = 42.985 − 54.672 = -11.687
- Signed miss = -8.00 − (-11.687) = 3.687
- Absolute miss = |3.687| = 3.687
The poll overstated the Democrat by 3.7 points and had the right leader.
Where these numbers come from
Poll and result: 538 raw_polls.csv. Poll ID 63551, race ID 816 (538 database).