2000 Senate · FL
Zogby Analytics · fieldwork ended 2000-10-27 (11 days before the election) · 600 respondents · Live Phone
The poll said
Democrat 46% · Republican 36%
D+10.0
The certified result
Democrat 51.04% · Republican 46.19%
D+4.9
The arithmetic
- Poll margin = 46 − 36 = 10.00
- Actual margin = 51.044 − 46.192 = 4.852
- Signed miss = 10.00 − (4.852) = 5.149
- Absolute miss = |5.149| = 5.149
The poll overstated the Democrat by 5.1 points and had the right leader.
Where these numbers come from
Poll and result: 538 raw_polls.csv. Poll ID 6332, race ID 1687 (538 database).