2000 Governor · NC
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy · fieldwork ended 2000-10-29 (9 days before the election) · 625 respondents · Live Phone
The poll said
Democrat 48% · Republican 41%
D+7.0
The certified result
Democrat 52.02% · Republican 46.26%
D+5.8
The arithmetic
- Poll margin = 48 − 41 = 7.00
- Actual margin = 52.015 − 46.259 = 5.756
- Signed miss = 7.00 − (5.756) = 1.243
- Absolute miss = |1.243| = 1.243
The poll overstated the Democrat by 1.2 points and had the right leader.
Where these numbers come from
Poll and result: 538 raw_polls.csv. Poll ID 6294, race ID 1423 (538 database).