2000 President · ME
RKM Research and Communications Inc. · fieldwork ended 2000-10-29 (9 days before the election) · 602 respondents · Live Phone
The poll said
Democrat 42% · Republican 42%
even
The certified result
Democrat 49.09% · Republican 43.97%
D+5.1
The arithmetic
- Poll margin = 42 − 42 = 0.00
- Actual margin = 49.086 − 43.972 = 5.114
- Signed miss = 0.00 − (5.114) = -5.114
- Absolute miss = |-5.114| = 5.114
The poll overstated the Republican by 5.1 points and showed a tie.
Where these numbers come from
Poll and result: 538 raw_polls.csv. Poll ID 6274, race ID 827 (538 database).