Skip to content

2000 President · WV

Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) · fieldwork ended 2000-10-18 (20 days before the election) · 1,036 respondents · IVR

The poll said

Democrat 42% · Republican 44%

R+2.0

The certified result

Democrat 45.59% · Republican 51.91%

R+6.3

The arithmetic

  1. Poll margin = 42 − 44 = -2.00
  2. Actual margin = 45.593 − 51.915 = -6.322
  3. Signed miss = -2.00 − (-6.322) = 4.323
  4. Absolute miss = |4.323| = 4.323

The poll overstated the Democrat by 4.3 points and had the right leader.

Where these numbers come from

Poll and result: 538 raw_polls.csv. Poll ID 54529, race ID 855 (538 database).