2000 Governor · NC
Harris Insights & Analytics · fieldwork ended 2000-11-03 (4 days before the election) · 6,696 respondents · Live Phone
The poll said
Democrat 53% · Republican 43%
D+10.0
The certified result
Democrat 52.02% · Republican 46.26%
D+5.8
The arithmetic
- Poll margin = 53 − 43 = 10.00
- Actual margin = 52.015 − 46.259 = 5.756
- Signed miss = 10.00 − (5.756) = 4.243
- Absolute miss = |4.243| = 4.243
The poll overstated the Democrat by 4.2 points and had the right leader.
Where these numbers come from
Poll and result: 538 raw_polls.csv. Poll ID 54486, race ID 1423 (538 database).