2000 Governor · IN
Harris Insights & Analytics · fieldwork ended 2000-11-03 (4 days before the election) · 5,591 respondents · Live Phone
The poll said
Democrat 54% · Republican 42%
D+12.0
The certified result
Democrat 56.56% · Republican 41.68%
D+14.9
The arithmetic
- Poll margin = 54 − 42 = 12.00
- Actual margin = 56.557 − 41.678 = 14.879
- Signed miss = 12.00 − (14.879) = -2.878
- Absolute miss = |-2.878| = 2.878
The poll overstated the Republican by 2.9 points and had the right leader.
Where these numbers come from
Poll and result: 538 raw_polls.csv. Poll ID 54454, race ID 1420 (538 database).