1998 Senate · FL
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy · fieldwork ended 1998-10-27 (7 days before the election) · 822 respondents · Live Phone
The poll said
Democrat 59% · Republican 31%
D+28.0
The certified result
Democrat 62.47% · Republican 37.53%
D+24.9
The arithmetic
- Poll margin = 59 − 31 = 28.00
- Actual margin = 62.469 − 37.531 = 24.938
- Signed miss = 28.00 − (24.938) = 3.061
- Absolute miss = |3.061| = 3.061
The poll overstated the Democrat by 3.1 points and had the right leader.
Where these numbers come from
Poll and result: 538 raw_polls.csv. Poll ID 54252, race ID 1724 (538 database).