2002 Governor · MN
Zogby Analytics · fieldwork ended 2002-11-03 (2 days before the election) · 600 respondents · Live Phone
The poll said
Democrat 36% · Republican 36%
even
The certified result
Democrat 36.46% · Republican 44.37%
R+7.9
The arithmetic
- Poll margin = 36 − 36 = 0.00
- Actual margin = 36.461 − 44.372 = -7.911
- Signed miss = 0.00 − (-7.911) = 7.912
- Absolute miss = |7.912| = 7.912
The poll overstated the Democrat by 7.9 points and showed a tie.
Where these numbers come from
Poll and result: 538 raw_polls.csv. Poll ID 25674, race ID 1399 (538 database).